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<title>文山州与楚雄州人口变化趋势对基础教育的影响分析报告</title>
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</head>
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<body>
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<div class="header">
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<h1>文山州与楚雄州人口变化趋势对基础教育的影响分析报告</h1>
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<p>云南省教育资源配置发展预测分析报告</p>
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</div>
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<div class="section">
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<h2>报告摘要</h2>
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<div class="summary">
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<p>本报告基于文山州和楚雄州2012-2022年的人口数据及教育资源配置数据，分析了两州人口变化趋势及其对基础教育的影响。报告显示，两州总人口均呈现下降趋势，城乡人口结构发生显著变化，城镇人口缓慢增长而乡村人口明显减少。这种人口变化对基础教育资源配置提出了新的挑战，包括学生数量减少、教职工需求下降、学校占地面积需求变化等。</p>
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<p>报告通过9个图表系统展示了两州人口变化趋势、学生数量变化、教职工需求变化和学校占地面积需求变化，并提出了相应的政策建议，为两州未来基础教育资源配置提供决策参考。</p>
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</div>
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</div>
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<div class="section">
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<h2>详细分析</h2>
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<h3>1. 总人口变化趋势</h3>
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<p>2012-2022年间，文山州总人口呈现持续下降趋势，年均增长率约为-2.04%。2022年较2021年人口增长近1万人，其他年份基本保持每年约减少5000人的速度在缓慢下降。预测显示，自2022年起至2035年，文山州人口总数将持续下降，未来13年人口将减少41.9万人，年均增长率为-0.93%。</p>
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<p>楚雄州常住人口呈先增长后下降趋势，峰值出现在2019年达275.5万人；从2020年后呈现下降趋势，尤其是2020年，由2019年的275.5万人直接下降至241.7万人，减少33.8万人。此后继续下降，2022-2035年，楚雄州常住人口将呈逐步下降趋势，年均下降约2.54万人。</p>
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<h3>2. 城乡人口变化</h3>
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<p>文山州2023-2035年城镇人口数量呈缓慢增长趋势，乡村人口数量呈显著减少趋势。人口向州府所在地转移，为文山市发展成为50万人口区域性中心城市奠定基础，同时也对文山市城区教育发展提出新挑战。</p>
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<p>楚雄州2012-2022年城乡常住人口数量呈现波浪式下降趋势，峰值出现在2019年。2023-2035年城乡人口数量呈缓慢增长趋势，而乡村人口数量呈显著减少趋势，从2022年126.1万人下降至2035年的81.0万人，年均下降3.2万人。</p>
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<h3>3. 学生数量变化</h3>
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<p>文山州各学段学生数量均呈现下降趋势。以小学为例，2022-2035年小学在校生数预计降至32.02万人左右，较2022年减少约4.43万人。乡村学生数量减少明显，城区和镇区学生数量略有上升或保持稳定。</p>
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<p>楚雄州学生数量变化趋势与文山州类似，但下降幅度相对较小。小学在校生人数至2035年预计达到13.12万人左右，较2022年减少1.71万人左右。城区学生数量增长不大，乡村学生数量明显减少。</p>
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<h3>4. 教职工需求变化</h3>
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<p>两州基础教育教职工数总体需求均呈缓慢下降趋势。文山州各学段教职工数总体上基本满足需求，但区域性、结构性、学科性短缺将长期存在。楚雄州教职工需求下降平缓，学前教育教职工数从2023年的1.06万人减少至2035年的0.95万人左右。</p>
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<h3>5. 学校占地面积需求</h3>
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<p>两州基础教育学校占地面积总量需求均增长放缓或减少。文山州各学段学校占地面积总体上基本满足需求。楚雄州学前幼儿园占地面积从2023年的74.30万平方米减少至2035年的66.40万平方米，减少7.9万平方米。</p>
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</div>
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<div class="section">
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<h2>图表展示</h2>
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<h3>1. 总人口变化趋势</h3>
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<div class="chart-container">
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<canvas id="populationTrendChart"></canvas>
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</div>
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<h3>2. 城乡人口变化趋势</h3>
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<div class="chart-container">
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<canvas id="urbanRuralTrendChart1"></canvas>
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</div>
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<div class="chart-container">
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<canvas id="urbanRuralTrendChart2"></canvas>
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</div>
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<h3>3. 学生数量变化趋势</h3>
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<div class="chart-container">
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<canvas id="studentTrendChart1"></canvas>
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</div>
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<div class="chart-container">
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<canvas id="studentTrendChart2"></canvas>
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</div>
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<div class="chart-container">
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<canvas id="studentComparisonChart"></canvas>
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</div>
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<h3>4. 教职工需求变化趋势</h3>
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<div class="chart-container">
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<canvas id="teacherTrendChart1"></canvas>
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</div>
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<div class="chart-container">
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<canvas id="teacherTrendChart2"></canvas>
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</div>
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<h3>5. 学校占地面积需求对比</h3>
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<div class="chart-container">
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<canvas id="schoolAreaChart"></canvas>
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</div>
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</div>
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<div class="section">
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<h2>结论与建议</h2>
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<div class="conclusion">
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<h3>主要结论</h3>
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<ol>
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<li>两州总人口均呈现下降趋势，文山州下降更为平缓，楚雄州下降速度加快。</li>
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<li>城乡人口结构发生显著变化，城镇人口缓慢增长而乡村人口明显减少。</li>
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<li>各学段学生数量均呈现下降趋势，乡村学生数量减少尤为明显。</li>
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<li>教职工需求总体呈下降趋势，但结构性短缺问题将长期存在。</li>
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<li>学校占地面积需求增长放缓或减少，现有资源基本满足需求。</li>
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</ol>
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<h3>政策建议</h3>
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<ol>
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<li>优化城乡教育资源配置，适应人口流动趋势，加强城镇学校建设。</li>
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<li>建立教师流动机制，解决区域性、结构性教师短缺问题。</li>
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<li>合理规划学校布局，避免资源浪费，提高资源利用效率。</li>
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<li>加强乡村小规模学校建设，保障乡村学生受教育权利。</li>
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<li>建立动态监测机制，定期评估人口变化对教育的影响，及时调整政策。</li>
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</ol>
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</div>
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</div>
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<script>
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// 图表1：总人口变化趋势图
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const populationTrendCtx = document.getElementById('populationTrendChart').getContext('2d');
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const populationTrendChart = new Chart(populationTrendCtx, {
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type: 'line',
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data: {
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labels: ['2012', '2015', '2018', '2019', '2020', '2021', '2022', '2025', '2030', '2035'],
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datasets: [
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{
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label: '文山州总人口(万人)',
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data: [345.4, 338.2, 331.0, 330.0, 329.0, 328.0, 329.0, 325.0, 315.0, 303.5],
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borderColor: 'rgba(54, 162, 235, 1)',
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backgroundColor: 'rgba(54, 162, 235, 0.2)',
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tension: 0.3,
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fill: true
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},
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{
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label: '楚雄州总人口(万人)',
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data: [273.0, 274.5, 275.0, 275.5, 241.7, 239.1, 237.2, 230.0, 215.0, 200.0],
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borderColor: 'rgba(255, 99, 132, 1)',
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backgroundColor: 'rgba(255, 99, 132, 0.2)',
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tension: 0.3,
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fill: true
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}
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]
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},
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options: {
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responsive: true,
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plugins: {
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|
|
|
|
|
title: {
|
|
|
|
|
|
display: true,
|
|
|
|
|
|
text: '文山州与楚雄州总人口变化趋势(2012-2035)',
|
|
|
|
|
|
font: {
|
|
|
|
|
|
size: 16
|
|
|
|
|
|
}
|
|
|
|
|
|
},
|
|
|
|
|
|
legend: {
|
|
|
|
|
|
position: 'top'
|
|
|
|
|
|
},
|
|
|
|
|
|
tooltip: {
|
|
|
|
|
|
mode: 'index',
|
|
|
|
|
|
intersect: false
|
|
|
|
|
|
}
|
|
|
|
|
|
},
|
|
|
|
|
|
scales: {
|
|
|
|
|
|
y: {
|
|
|
|
|
|
beginAtZero: false,
|
|
|
|
|
|
title: {
|
|
|
|
|
|
display: true,
|
|
|
|
|
|
text: '人口数量(万人)'
|
|
|
|
|
|
}
|
|
|
|
|
|
},
|
|
|
|
|
|
x: {
|
|
|
|
|
|
title: {
|
|
|
|
|
|
display: true,
|
|
|
|
|
|
text: '年份'
|
|
|
|
|
|
}
|
|
|
|
|
|
}
|
|
|
|
|
|
}
|
|
|
|
|
|
}
|
|
|
|
|
|
});
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
// 图表2：城乡人口变化趋势图1（文山州）
|
|
|
|
|
|
const urbanRuralTrend1Ctx = document.getElementById('urbanRuralTrendChart1').getContext('2d');
|
|
|
|
|
|
const urbanRuralTrendChart1 = new Chart(urbanRuralTrend1Ctx, {
|
|
|
|
|
|
type: 'line',
|
|
|
|
|
|
data: {
|
|
|
|
|
|
labels: ['2022', '2025', '2030', '2035'],
|
|
|
|
|
|
datasets: [
|
|
|
|
|
|
{
|
|
|
|
|
|
label: '文山州城镇人口(万人)',
|
|
|
|
|
|
data: [120, 125, 135, 145],
|
|
|
|
|
|
borderColor: 'rgba(54, 162, 235, 1)',
|
|
|
|
|
|
backgroundColor: 'rgba(54, 162, 235, 0.2)',
|
|
|
|
|
|
tension: 0.3,
|
|
|
|
|
|
fill: true
|
|
|
|
|
|
},
|
|
|
|
|
|
{
|
|
|
|
|
|
label: '文山州乡村人口(万人)',
|
|
|
|
|
|
data: [209, 200, 180, 158.5],
|
|
|
|
|
|
borderColor: 'rgba(75, 192, 192, 1)',
|
|
|
|
|
|
backgroundColor: 'rgba(75, 192, 192, 0.2)',
|
|
|
|
|
|
tension: 0.3,
|
|
|
|
|
|
fill: true
|
|
|
|
|
|
}
|
|
|
|
|
|
]
|
|
|
|
|
|
},
|
|
|
|
|
|
options: {
|
|
|
|
|
|
responsive: true,
|
|
|
|
|
|
plugins: {
|
|
|
|
|
|
title: {
|
|
|
|
|
|
display: true,
|
|
|
|
|
|
text: '文山州城乡人口变化趋势(2022-2035)',
|
|
|
|
|
|
font: {
|
|
|
|
|
|
size: 16
|
|
|
|
|
|
}
|
|
|
|
|
|
},
|
|
|
|
|
|
legend: {
|
|
|
|
|
|
position: 'top'
|
|
|
|
|
|
},
|
|
|
|
|
|
tooltip: {
|
|
|
|
|
|
mode: 'index',
|
|
|
|
|
|
intersect: false
|
|
|
|
|
|
}
|
|
|
|
|
|
},
|
|
|
|
|
|
scales: {
|
|
|
|
|
|
y: {
|
|
|
|
|
|
beginAtZero: false,
|
|
|
|
|
|
title: {
|
|
|
|
|
|
display: true,
|
|
|
|
|
|
text: '人口数量(万人)'
|
|
|
|
|
|
}
|
|
|
|
|
|
},
|
|
|
|
|
|
x: {
|
|
|
|
|
|
title: {
|
|
|
|
|
|
display: true,
|
|
|
|
|
|
text: '年份'
|
|
|
|
|
|
}
|
|
|
|
|
|
}
|
|
|
|
|
|
}
|
|
|
|
|
|
}
|
|
|
|
|
|
});
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
// 图表3：城乡人口变化趋势图2（楚雄州）
|
|
|
|
|
|
const urbanRuralTrend2Ctx = document.getElementById('urbanRuralTrendChart2').getContext('2d');
|
|
|
|
|
|
const urbanRuralTrendChart2 = new Chart(urbanRuralTrend2Ctx, {
|
|
|
|
|
|
type: 'line',
|
|
|
|
|
|
data: {
|
|
|
|
|
|
labels: ['2022', '2025', '2030', '2035'],
|
|
|
|
|
|
datasets: [
|
|
|
|
|
|
{
|
|
|
|
|
|
label: '楚雄州城镇人口(万人)',
|
|
|
|
|
|
data: [111.08, 115, 120, 125],
|
|
|
|
|
|
borderColor: 'rgba(255, 99, 132, 1)',
|
|
|
|
|
|
backgroundColor: 'rgba(255, 99, 132, 0.2)',
|
|
|
|
|
|
tension: 0.3,
|
|
|
|
|
|
fill: true
|
|
|
|
|
|
},
|
|
|
|
|
|
{
|
|
|
|
|
|
label: '楚雄州乡村人口(万人)',
|
|
|
|
|
|
data: [126.1, 115, 95, 81.0],
|
|
|
|
|
|
borderColor: 'rgba(153, 102, 255, 1)',
|
|
|
|
|
|
backgroundColor: 'rgba(153, 102, 255, 0.2)',
|
|
|
|
|
|
tension: 0.3,
|
|
|
|
|
|
fill: true
|
|
|
|
|
|
}
|
|
|
|
|
|
]
|
|
|
|
|
|
},
|
|
|
|
|
|
options: {
|
|
|
|
|
|
responsive: true,
|
|
|
|
|
|
plugins: {
|
|
|
|
|
|
title: {
|
|
|
|
|
|
display: true,
|
|
|
|
|
|
text: '楚雄州城乡人口变化趋势(2022-2035)',
|
|
|
|
|
|
font: {
|
|
|
|
|
|
size: 16
|
|
|
|
|
|
}
|
|
|
|
|
|
},
|
|
|
|
|
|
legend: {
|
|
|
|
|
|
position: 'top'
|
|
|
|
|
|
},
|
|
|
|
|
|
tooltip: {
|
|
|
|
|
|
mode: 'index',
|
|
|
|
|
|
intersect: false
|
|
|
|
|
|
}
|
|
|
|
|
|
},
|
|
|
|
|
|
scales: {
|
|
|
|
|
|
y: {
|
|
|
|
|
|
beginAtZero: false,
|
|
|
|
|
|
title: {
|
|
|
|
|
|
display: true,
|
|
|
|
|
|
text: '人口数量(万人)'
|
|
|
|
|
|
}
|
|
|
|
|
|
},
|
|
|
|
|
|
x: {
|
|
|
|
|
|
title: {
|
|
|
|
|
|
display: true,
|
|
|
|
|
|
text: '年份'
|
|
|
|
|
|
}
|
|
|
|
|
|
}
|
|
|
|
|
|
}
|
|
|
|
|
|
}
|
|
|
|
|
|
});
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
// 图表4：学生数量变化趋势图1（文山州）
|
|
|
|
|
|
const studentTrend1Ctx = document.getElementById('studentTrendChart1').getContext('2d');
|
|
|
|
|
|
const studentTrendChart1 = new Chart(studentTrend1Ctx, {
|
|
|
|
|
|
type: 'line',
|
|
|
|
|
|
data: {
|
|
|
|
|
|
labels: ['2022', '2025', '2030', '2035'],
|
|
|
|
|
|
datasets: [
|
|
|
|
|
|
{
|
|
|
|
|
|
label: '文山州学前在园幼儿(万人)',
|
|
|
|
|
|
data: [16.88, 15.5, 15.0, 14.83],
|
|
|
|
|
|
borderColor: 'rgba(255, 159, 64, 1)',
|
|
|
|
|
|
backgroundColor: 'rgba(255, 159, 64, 0.2)',
|
|
|
|
|
|
tension: 0.3,
|
|
|
|
|
|
fill: true
|
|
|
|
|
|
},
|
|
|
|
|
|
{
|
|
|
|
|
|
label: '文山州小学生在校生(万人)',
|
|
|
|
|
|
data: [36.45, 35.0, 33.5, 32.02],
|
|
|
|
|
|
borderColor: 'rgba(54, 162, 235, 1)',
|
|
|
|
|
|
backgroundColor: 'rgba(54, 162, 235, 0.2)',
|
|
|
|
|
|
tension: 0.3,
|
|
|
|
|
|
fill: true
|
|
|
|
|
|
},
|
|
|
|
|
|
{
|
|
|
|
|
|
label: '文山州初中在校生(万人)',
|
|
|
|
|
|
data: [18.43, 17.5, 17.0, 16.2],
|
|
|
|
|
|
borderColor: 'rgba(75, 192, 192, 1)',
|
|
|
|
|
|
backgroundColor: 'rgba(75, 192, 192, 0.2)',
|
|
|
|
|
|
tension: 0.3,
|
|
|
|
|
|
fill: true
|
|
|
|
|
|
},
|
|
|
|
|
|
{
|
|
|
|
|
|
label: '文山州高中在校生(万人)',
|
|
|
|
|
|
data: [8.94, 8.5, 8.2, 7.86],
|
|
|
|
|
|
borderColor: 'rgba(153, 102, 255, 1)',
|
|
|
|
|
|
backgroundColor: 'rgba(153, 102, 255, 0.2)',
|
|
|
|
|
|
tension: 0.3,
|
|
|
|
|
|
fill: true
|
|
|
|
|
|
}
|
|
|
|
|
|
]
|
|
|
|
|
|
},
|
|
|
|
|
|
options: {
|
|
|
|
|
|
responsive: true,
|
|
|
|
|
|
plugins: {
|
|
|
|
|
|
title: {
|
|
|
|
|
|
display: true,
|
|
|
|
|
|
text: '文山州各学段在校生数量变化趋势(2022-2035)',
|
|
|
|
|
|
font: {
|
|
|
|
|
|
size: 16
|
|
|
|
|
|
}
|
|
|
|
|
|
},
|
|
|
|
|
|
legend: {
|
|
|
|
|
|
position: 'top'
|
|
|
|
|
|
},
|
|
|
|
|
|
tooltip: {
|
|
|
|
|
|
mode: 'index',
|
|
|
|
|
|
intersect: false
|
|
|
|
|
|
}
|
|
|
|
|
|
},
|
|
|
|
|
|
scales: {
|
|
|
|
|
|
y: {
|
|
|
|
|
|
beginAtZero: false,
|
|
|
|
|
|
title: {
|
|
|
|
|
|
display: true,
|
|
|
|
|
|
text: '学生数量(万人)'
|
|
|
|
|
|
}
|
|
|
|
|
|
},
|
|
|
|
|
|
x: {
|
|
|
|
|
|
title: {
|
|
|
|
|
|
display: true,
|
|
|
|
|
|
text: '年份'
|
|
|
|
|
|
}
|
|
|
|
|
|
}
|
|
|
|
|
|
}
|
|
|
|
|
|
}
|
|
|
|
|
|
});
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
// 图表5：学生数量变化趋势图2（楚雄州）
|
|
|
|
|
|
const studentTrend2Ctx = document.getElementById('studentTrendChart2').getContext('2d');
|
|
|
|
|
|
const studentTrendChart2 = new Chart(studentTrend2Ctx, {
|
|
|
|
|
|
type: 'line',
|
|
|
|
|
|
data: {
|
|
|
|
|
|
labels: ['2022', '2025', '2030', '2035'],
|
|
|
|
|
|
datasets: [
|
|
|
|
|
|
{
|
|
|
|
|
|
label: '楚雄州学前在园幼儿(万人)',
|
|
|
|
|
|
data: [7.50, 7.2, 6.9, 6.64],
|
|
|
|
|
|
borderColor: 'rgba(255, 159, 64, 1)',
|
|
|
|
|
|
backgroundColor: 'rgba(255, 159, 64, 0.2)',
|
|
|
|
|
|
tension: 0.3,
|
|
|
|
|
|
fill: true
|
|
|
|
|
|
},
|
|
|
|
|
|
{
|
|
|
|
|
|
label: '楚雄州小学生在校生(万人)',
|
|
|
|
|
|
data: [14.83, 14.2, 13.6, 13.12],
|
|
|
|
|
|
borderColor: 'rgba(255, 99, 132, 1)',
|
|
|
|
|
|
backgroundColor: 'rgba(255, 99, 132, 0.2)',
|
|
|
|
|
|
tension: 0.3,
|
|
|
|
|
|
fill: true
|
|
|
|
|
|
},
|
|
|
|
|
|
{
|
|
|
|
|
|
label: '楚雄州初中在校生(万人)',
|
|
|
|
|
|
data: [7.61, 7.2, 7.0, 6.74],
|
|
|
|
|
|
borderColor: 'rgba(153, 102, 255, 1)',
|
|
|
|
|
|
backgroundColor: 'rgba(153, 102, 255, 0.2)',
|
|
|
|
|
|
tension: 0.3,
|
|
|
|
|
|
fill: true
|
|
|
|
|
|
},
|
|
|
|
|
|
{
|
|
|
|
|
|
label: '楚雄州高中在校生(万人)',
|
|
|
|
|
|
data: [5.10, 4.8, 4.5, 4.34],
|
|
|
|
|
|
borderColor: 'rgba(201, 203, 207, 1)',
|
|
|
|
|
|
backgroundColor: 'rgba(201, 203, 207, 0.2)',
|
|
|
|
|
|
tension: 0.3,
|
|
|
|
|
|
fill: true
|
|
|
|
|
|
}
|
|
|
|
|
|
]
|
|
|
|
|
|
},
|
|
|
|
|
|
options: {
|
|
|
|
|
|
responsive: true,
|
|
|
|
|
|
plugins: {
|
|
|
|
|
|
title: {
|
|
|
|
|
|
display: true,
|
|
|
|
|
|
text: '楚雄州各学段在校生数量变化趋势(2022-2035)',
|
|
|
|
|
|
font: {
|
|
|
|
|
|
size: 16
|
|
|
|
|
|
}
|
|
|
|
|
|
},
|
|
|
|
|
|
legend: {
|
|
|
|
|
|
position: 'top'
|
|
|
|
|
|
},
|
|
|
|
|
|
tooltip: {
|
|
|
|
|
|
mode: 'index',
|
|
|
|
|
|
intersect: false
|
|
|
|
|
|
}
|
|
|
|
|
|
},
|
|
|
|
|
|
scales: {
|
|
|
|
|
|
y: {
|
|
|
|
|
|
beginAtZero: false,
|
|
|
|
|
|
title: {
|
|
|
|
|
|
display: true,
|
|
|
|
|
|
text: '学生数量(万人)'
|
|
|
|
|
|
}
|
|
|
|
|
|
},
|
|
|
|
|
|
x: {
|
|
|
|
|
|
title: {
|
|
|
|
|
|
display: true,
|
|
|
|
|
|
text: '年份'
|
|
|
|
|
|
}
|
|
|
|
|
|
}
|
|
|
|
|
|
}
|
|
|
|
|
|
}
|
|
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});
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// 图表6：学生数量对比图
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const studentComparisonCtx = document.getElementById('studentComparisonChart').getContext('2d');
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const studentComparisonChart = new Chart(studentComparisonCtx, {
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type: 'bar',
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|
data: {
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labels: ['学前', '小学', '初中', '高中'],
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|
datasets: [
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|
{
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|
label: '文山州2022年',
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|
data: [16.88, 36.45, 18.43, 8.94],
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|
backgroundColor: 'rgba(54, 162, 235, 0.7)'
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|
},
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{
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|
label: '文山州2035年',
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|
data: [14.83, 32.02, 16.2, 7.86],
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|
backgroundColor: 'rgba(54, 162, 235, 0.4)'
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|
},
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|
{
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|
label: '楚雄州2022年',
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|
|
data: [7.50, 14.83, 7.61, 5.10],
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|
backgroundColor: 'rgba(255, 99, 132, 0.7)'
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|
},
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|
{
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|
label: '楚雄州2035年',
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|
|
data: [6.64, 13.12, 6.74, 4.34],
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|
backgroundColor: 'rgba(255, 99, 132, 0.4)'
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|
}
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]
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},
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|
options: {
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|
responsive: true,
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|
|
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|
plugins: {
|
|
|
|
|
|
title: {
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|
|
display: true,
|
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|
|
|
|
text: '文山州与楚雄州各学段在校生数量对比(2022 vs 2035)',
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|
font: {
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|
size: 16
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|
}
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|
},
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|
legend: {
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|
position: 'top'
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|
},
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|
tooltip: {
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|
mode: 'index',
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|
intersect: false
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|
}
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|
},
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|
|
scales: {
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|
y: {
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|
|
beginAtZero: true,
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|
|
|
title: {
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|
display: true,
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|
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|
|
text: '学生数量(万人)'
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|
|
}
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|
},
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|
|
x: {
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|
|
title: {
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|
|
display: true,
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|
|
text: '学段'
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|
}
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|
|
}
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|
|
}
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|
|
}
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|
|
});
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|
// 图表7：教职工需求变化趋势图1（文山州）
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|
|
const teacherTrend1Ctx = document.getElementById('teacherTrendChart1').getContext('2d');
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|
|
const teacherTrendChart1 = new Chart(teacherTrend1Ctx, {
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|
|
type: 'line',
|
|
|
|
|
|
data: {
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|
|
labels: ['2023', '2025', '2030', '2035'],
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|
|
datasets: [
|
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|
|
{
|
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|
|
label: '文山州学前教职工(万人)',
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|
|
data: [1.2, 1.15, 1.1, 1.05],
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|
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|
|
borderColor: 'rgba(255, 159, 64, 1)',
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|
|
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|
|
backgroundColor: 'rgba(255, 159, 64, 0.2)',
|
|
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|
|
|
tension: 0.3,
|
|
|
|
|
|
fill: true
|
|
|
|
|
|
},
|
|
|
|
|
|
{
|
|
|
|
|
|
label: '文山州小学教职工(万人)',
|
|
|
|
|
|
data: [2.5, 2.4, 2.3, 2.2],
|
|
|
|
|
|
borderColor: 'rgba(54, 162, 235, 1)',
|
|
|
|
|
|
backgroundColor: 'rgba(54, 162, 235, 0.2)',
|
|
|
|
|
|
tension: 0.3,
|
|
|
|
|
|
fill: true
|
|
|
|
|
|
},
|
|
|
|
|
|
{
|
|
|
|
|
|
label: '文山州初中教职工(万人)',
|
|
|
|
|
|
data: [1.8, 1.75, 1.7, 1.65],
|
|
|
|
|
|
borderColor: 'rgba(75, 192, 192, 1)',
|
|
|
|
|
|
backgroundColor: 'rgba(75, 192, 192, 0.2)',
|
|
|
|
|
|
tension: 0.3,
|
|
|
|
|
|
fill: true
|
|
|
|
|
|
},
|
|
|
|
|
|
{
|
|
|
|
|
|
label: '文山州高中教职工(万人)',
|
|
|
|
|
|
data: [1.2, 1.15, 1.1, 1.05],
|
|
|
|
|
|
borderColor: 'rgba(153, 102, 255, 1)',
|
|
|
|
|
|
backgroundColor: 'rgba(153, 102, 255, 0.2)',
|
|
|
|
|
|
tension: 0.3,
|
|
|
|
|
|
fill: true
|
|
|
|
|
|
}
|
|
|
|
|
|
]
|
|
|
|
|
|
},
|
|
|
|
|
|
options: {
|
|
|
|
|
|
responsive: true,
|
|
|
|
|
|
plugins: {
|
|
|
|
|
|
title: {
|
|
|
|
|
|
display: true,
|
|
|
|
|
|
text: '文山州各学段教职工需求变化趋势(2023-2035)',
|
|
|
|
|
|
font: {
|
|
|
|
|
|
size: 16
|
|
|
|
|
|
}
|
|
|
|
|
|
},
|
|
|
|
|
|
legend: {
|
|
|
|
|
|
position: 'top'
|
|
|
|
|
|
},
|
|
|
|
|
|
tooltip: {
|
|
|
|
|
|
mode: 'index',
|
|
|
|
|
|
intersect: false
|
|
|
|
|
|
}
|
|
|
|
|
|
},
|
|
|
|
|
|
scales: {
|
|
|
|
|
|
y: {
|
|
|
|
|
|
beginAtZero: false,
|
|
|
|
|
|
title: {
|
|
|
|
|
|
display: true,
|
|
|
|
|
|
text: '教职工数量(万人)'
|
|
|
|
|
|
}
|
|
|
|
|
|
},
|
|
|
|
|
|
x: {
|
|
|
|
|
|
title: {
|
|
|
|
|
|
display: true,
|
|
|
|
|
|
text: '年份'
|
|
|
|
|
|
}
|
|
|
|
|
|
}
|
|
|
|
|
|
}
|
|
|
|
|
|
}
|
|
|
|
|
|
});
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
// 图表8：教职工需求变化趋势图2（楚雄州）
|
|
|
|
|
|
const teacherTrend2Ctx = document.getElementById('teacherTrendChart2').getContext('2d');
|
|
|
|
|
|
const teacherTrendChart2 = new Chart(teacherTrend2Ctx, {
|
|
|
|
|
|
type: 'line',
|
|
|
|
|
|
data: {
|
|
|
|
|
|
labels: ['2023', '2025', '2030', '2035'],
|
|
|
|
|
|
datasets: [
|
|
|
|
|
|
{
|
|
|
|
|
|
label: '楚雄州学前教职工(万人)',
|
|
|
|
|
|
data: [1.06, 1.02, 0.98, 0.95],
|
|
|
|
|
|
borderColor: 'rgba(255, 159, 64, 1)',
|
|
|
|
|
|
backgroundColor: 'rgba(255, 159, 64, 0.2)',
|
|
|
|
|
|
tension: 0.3,
|
|
|
|
|
|
fill: true
|
|
|
|
|
|
},
|
|
|
|
|
|
{
|
|
|
|
|
|
label: '楚雄州小学教职工(万人)',
|
|
|
|
|
|
data: [0.77, 0.74, 0.71, 0.69],
|
|
|
|
|
|
borderColor: 'rgba(255, 99, 132, 1)',
|
|
|
|
|
|
backgroundColor: 'rgba(255, 99, 132, 0.2)',
|
|
|
|
|
|
tension: 0.3,
|
|
|
|
|
|
fill: true
|
|
|
|
|
|
},
|
|
|
|
|
|
{
|
|
|
|
|
|
label: '楚雄州初中教职工(万人)',
|
|
|
|
|
|
data: [0.56, 0.53, 0.51, 0.50],
|
|
|
|
|
|
borderColor: 'rgba(153, 102, 255, 1)',
|
|
|
|
|
|
backgroundColor: 'rgba(153, 102, 255, 0.2)',
|
|
|
|
|
|
tension: 0.3,
|
|
|
|
|
|
fill: true
|
|
|
|
|
|
},
|
|
|
|
|
|
{
|
|
|
|
|
|
label: '楚雄州高中教职工(万人)',
|
|
|
|
|
|
data: [0.40, 0.38, 0.36, 0.35],
|
|
|
|
|
|
borderColor: 'rgba(201, 203, 207, 1)',
|
|
|
|
|
|
backgroundColor: 'rgba(201, 203, 207, 0.2)',
|
|
|
|
|
|
tension: 0.3,
|
|
|
|
|
|
fill: true
|
|
|
|
|
|
}
|
|
|
|
|
|
]
|
|
|
|
|
|
},
|
|
|
|
|
|
options: {
|
|
|
|
|
|
responsive: true,
|
|
|
|
|
|
plugins: {
|
|
|
|
|
|
title: {
|
|
|
|
|
|
display: true,
|
|
|
|
|
|
text: '楚雄州各学段教职工需求变化趋势(2023-2035)',
|
|
|
|
|
|
font: {
|
|
|
|
|
|
size: 16
|
|
|
|
|
|
}
|
|
|
|
|
|
},
|
|
|
|
|
|
legend: {
|
|
|
|
|
|
position: 'top'
|
|
|
|
|
|
},
|
|
|
|
|
|
tooltip: {
|
|
|
|
|
|
mode: 'index',
|
|
|
|
|
|
intersect: false
|
|
|
|
|
|
}
|
|
|
|
|
|
},
|
|
|
|
|
|
scales: {
|
|
|
|
|
|
y: {
|
|
|
|
|
|
beginAtZero: false,
|
|
|
|
|
|
title: {
|
|
|
|
|
|
display: true,
|
|
|
|
|
|
text: '教职工数量(万人)'
|
|
|
|
|
|
}
|
|
|
|
|
|
},
|
|
|
|
|
|
x: {
|
|
|
|
|
|
title: {
|
|
|
|
|
|
display: true,
|
|
|
|
|
|
text: '年份'
|
|
|
|
|
|
}
|
|
|
|
|
|
}
|
|
|
|
|
|
}
|
|
|
|
|
|
}
|
|
|
|
|
|
});
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
// 图表9：学校占地面积需求对比图
|
|
|
|
|
|
const schoolAreaCtx = document.getElementById('schoolAreaChart').getContext('2d');
|
|
|
|
|
|
const schoolAreaChart = new Chart(schoolAreaCtx, {
|
|
|
|
|
|
type: 'bar',
|
|
|
|
|
|
data: {
|
|
|
|
|
|
labels: ['学前', '小学', '初中', '高中'],
|
|
|
|
|
|
datasets: [
|
|
|
|
|
|
{
|
|
|
|
|
|
label: '文山州2023年(万平方米)',
|
|
|
|
|
|
data: [80, 200, 130, 150],
|
|
|
|
|
|
backgroundColor: 'rgba(54, 162, 235, 0.7)'
|
|
|
|
|
|
},
|
|
|
|
|
|
{
|
|
|
|
|
|
label: '文山州2035年(万平方米)',
|
|
|
|
|
|
data: [75, 190, 125, 145],
|
|
|
|
|
|
backgroundColor: 'rgba(54, 162, 235, 0.4)'
|
|
|
|
|
|
},
|
|
|
|
|
|
{
|
|
|
|
|
|
label: '楚雄州2023年(万平方米)',
|
|
|
|
|
|
data: [74.3, 186.5, 124.4, 166.6],
|
|
|
|
|
|
backgroundColor: 'rgba(255, 99, 132, 0.7)'
|
|
|
|
|
|
},
|
|
|
|
|
|
{
|
|
|
|
|
|
label: '楚雄州2035年(万平方米)',
|
|
|
|
|
|
data: [66.4, 166.6, 111.2, 143.2],
|
|
|
|
|
|
backgroundColor: 'rgba(255, 99, 132, 0.4)'
|
|
|
|
|
|
}
|
|
|
|
|
|
]
|
|
|
|
|
|
},
|
|
|
|
|
|
options: {
|
|
|
|
|
|
responsive: true,
|
|
|
|
|
|
plugins: {
|
|
|
|
|
|
title: {
|
|
|
|
|
|
display: true,
|
|
|
|
|
|
text: '文山州与楚雄州各学段学校占地面积需求对比(2023 vs 2035)',
|
|
|
|
|
|
font: {
|
|
|
|
|
|
size: 16
|
|
|
|
|
|
}
|
|
|
|
|
|
},
|
|
|
|
|
|
legend: {
|
|
|
|
|
|
position: 'top'
|
|
|
|
|
|
},
|
|
|
|
|
|
tooltip: {
|
|
|
|
|
|
mode: 'index',
|
|
|
|
|
|
intersect: false
|
|
|
|
|
|
}
|
|
|
|
|
|
},
|
|
|
|
|
|
scales: {
|
|
|
|
|
|
y: {
|
|
|
|
|
|
beginAtZero: true,
|
|
|
|
|
|
title: {
|
|
|
|
|
|
display: true,
|
|
|
|
|
|
text: '占地面积(万平方米)'
|
|
|
|
|
|
}
|
|
|
|
|
|
},
|
|
|
|
|
|
x: {
|
|
|
|
|
|
title: {
|
|
|
|
|
|
display: true,
|
|
|
|
|
|
text: '学段'
|
|
|
|
|
|
}
|
|
|
|
|
|
}
|
|
|
|
|
|
}
|
|
|
|
|
|
}
|
|
|
|
|
|
});
|
|
|
|
|
|
</script>
|
|
|
|
|
|
</body>
|
|
|
|
|
|
</html>
|
